Reflections on the first two rounds of the 2009 NCAA Tournament
Our thoughts on the first weekend, after the jump.
- UCONN and Syracuse were clearly the two most impressive teams from the first weekend. I guess it's safe to say that the six overtime classic hasn't had any long-term effects. The Huskies wins over Chattanooga and Texas A&Mgive them a +82 scoring margin...probably some sort of record. AJ Price is our pick for best point guard in college basketball. He's more versatile than Gonzaga's Jeremy Pargo, and a tad more of a scoring threat than UNC's Ty Lawson. In his last three games, Price is averaging 27 and 7. Syracuse is running on all cylinders, with Jonny Flynn (yes, he's the fourth best point guard in college basketball) finding anyone and everyone for open shots. The Orange are crushing on the boards -- they've already pulled down 77 of them -- and forced Stephen F. Austin and Arizona St. to shoot a combined 33 percent from the floor. The three headed monster of Onuaku, Jackson and Ongenaet are fairly formidable, and if Jimmy B plays his cards right, they could limit an already banged up Blake Griffin.
- Siena - Ohio State will be remembered as the drama king of the first-round, but any television market subjected to the full 50 minutes of play knows it was one of the most poorly played games in the tournament so far. The game featured 40 turnovers, a 26.5 combined three point shooting percentage, missed dunks, soft fouls, and air mailed cross court passes that ended up in row three. Initially I was going to touch on the fact that many people have criticized lack of quality play in Division I college basketball this season. But when Siena follows this game up with a near upset of top-dog Louisville, you just have to love the unpredictability of this sporting event and sometimes refrain from passing judgment by just enjoying the drama as it unfolds.
- In hindsight, we all should have seen the Wake Forest meltdown coming. The Demon Deacons had lost five of their last seven away from Winston-Salem, were small compared to Cleveland State, and Jeff Teague's scoring average and field-goal percentage had been dropping for the last month. I found this blurb from the live bloggers over at the New York Times during Friday night's game:
Mike Ogle: Where has Jeff Teague gone? This guy was being touted, with good reason, as the most talented player in the A.C.C. in the winter. He's averaging 13.4 points in his last five games and has just 6. He scored 25 or more points eight times this season, including three games in the 30s. He just hasn't been the same since January. No wonder Wake Forest has gone 8-6 in its last four games after starting 16-0 and earning the No. 1 ranking in the country for a week. Teague is still on the missing persons list tonight (4 points so far on 4 shots), and the Deacons are sweating big time.
Teague finished with 10 points, and it may have been the last we've seen from him. With a crappy 2009 draft, he'll probably bolt for the pros and hope for lottery dollars.
- Villanova responded tremendously against UCLA, after a fairly lackluster performance against American. The Wildcats had 20 assists on 31 field goals, and turned the ball over a modest 11 times. Why don't more people talk about Corey Fisher? He has one of the best handles in the college game, and would probably attempt to jump over a tree if it meant drawing a foul. With Scottie Reynolds graduating, Jay Wright's backcourt is in good hands with Fisher, Corey Stokes and their incoming freshman class.
- I underestimated Michigan. Clemson never really impressed me this season, Duke blowout win aside, but I didn't think the Wolverines would necessarily win the game, instead I thought the Tigers would lose it. John Belein prepared his team well, and they even stuck with Oklahoma for a good chunk of the contest.
- While I wrote them off after the Dominic James injury, Marquette is clearly the best team eliminated this weekend. Overcoming a 16 point deficit to take the lead against Missouri was fun to watch, even though it would have severely damaged my bracket. We'll never know what would of happened had Lazar Hayward not pulled that brain fart, and it's too bad he's going to have to live with that over the summer. At full strength this team was a Final Four contender.
- It's funny how Arizona can squeak into the tournament as a 12 seed, but be the final Pac 10 team standing. The Wildcats weren't very good on the road this season (5-10) but got a favorable draw with mid-majors Utah and Cleveland State. You wonder if Brandon Jennings is watching from overseas
- Cole Aldrich's NBA stock is rising...like really fast. Many will expect him to leave after this season, but he is living his childhood dream playing for Kansas. He's from Minneapolis but attended the Jayhawks summer camps growing up. Don't be surprised if he sticks around.
- Why does Boise, Idaho continue to be a tournament site? The Taco Bell Arena appeared empty for all four games -- I am guessing mainly due to fans unwilling to travel to the frieken state of Idaho, coupled with the fact only 587,000 people call the metro area home. The NCAA might want to re-consider, or someone should tell me why it's a good fit.
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I cannot believe you would even insinuate that Pargo is better than Flynn
Please, help me understand how you could possibly rationally reach that conclusion.
ha. ya it’s splitting hairs and i love flynn but i also value (maybe too much) chicago area point guards. they play tough as nails. also note pargo has a higher fg and 3pt percentage.
Comparing all four
Here’s a comparison of all four.
Since I like tempo-neutral stats, that’s where this analysis is going to go. Lawson is far and away the leader in offensive rating, but that has a lot to do with his high eFG percentage (thanks, fast break layins!) and super high assist rate (thanks, talented fast breaking teammates!). The other three are similar.
Let’s just go ahead and say Lawson is the best. How to distinguish those other three? To me, it comes down to minute percentage, shot percentage, and competition. Flynn played by far the highest percentage of minutes among those four, took the second highest percentage of shots and still had the highest offensive rating. So he’s not as good of the 3-point shooter — so what? His eFG is only a tad lower than the other two.
Plus, Price and Flynn did it against much stiffer competition than Pargo. The defenses Syracuse faced grade out as the toughest in the nation according to Pomeroy, and UConn’s was 48th. Gonzaga? Just 86th.
In fact, I could make a real, real good case that Pargo isn’t even the best point guard in the state of Washington.
Michigan
As a person just recently accepted into the public Ivy league school, Michigan, I’m very proud of what they accomplished. Nobody had this team making the tourney at the beginning of the season, let alone winning a game against, gasp!, the ACC.
Your’e right about Syracuse, I think they will beat Blake up a little, OKlahoma has no depth.
coug center 1 – searching for billy edelin 0. ill give you this, but honestly — taylor rochestie? he’s more cute than good.
That's funny
Gesser lives like 5 minutes from me. He’s in the process of trying to turn this into a full-time business.
by Jeff Nusser on Mar 23, 2009 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions
Boise...
…is a site probably because of the dearth of arenas on the West Coast that seat 12,000 fans. Plus, the folks at BSU apparently do a good job from an organizational standpoint., hence why they stay in the rotation.
Visit bloggingthebracket.com, SBNation's, bracketology site!
by Chris Dobbertean on Mar 25, 2009 12:17 PM EDT reply actions

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