Butler (+4.5) over Kansas State - Just 40 minutes away from a real life Hoosiers tale, Butler will look to pull of their second biggest victory in program history in as many days. Matt Howard, prone to foul trouble, has been able to stay involved in each of the Bulldogs three tourmament games, and limited the production of UTEP's Derrick Caracter and Syracuse's Rick Jackson (although Jackson proved to be a pretty crappy interior presence without Arinze Onuaku to help out). Kansas State comes off one of the most epic tournament games in recent memory, and Jacob Pullen and Denis Clemente averaging a combined 46 points a game, meaning they're the best backcourt remaining. So, will the dream continue for the boys from Indy? Unlikely in my mind. Baylor's pummeling of Saint Mary's last night showed how "bigger, stronger, faster" will usually put an end to a Cinderella story. They'll cover, but it will be Frank Martin's club who wins the West.
Kentucky (-5) over West Virginia - "Land the plane!" said UK coach John Calipari to his players following Selection Sunday. Right now, the Wildcats can see the runway. Some will say they have caught a bit of a break the way their bracket has played out, and they'll get a West Virgina squad without Truck Bryant tonight. Can the Mountaineers Joe Mazzulla match up against John Wall? Probably not, and this game within the game could be what decides the East Region. Many have been wary of the Cats because of their inexperinece, but they've got it done on both ends of the floor in their first three tournament games. Expect them to keep an 8-10 point lead for most of the game, and jet off to the Final Four.