College Basketball Vegas Odds and Picks: December 12th

Sports-betting1My picks went 2-1 last night, moving me to 36-27 on the season.

What I Got Right
: Arkansas-Little Rock narrowly missed the mini-upset on a last second buzzer beater, but stayed within 7.5 points of Oral Roberts. Oregon failed to top Portland State by more than 14 points because that is too many points for any PAC-12 team besides Arizona to cover.

What I Got Wrong: In the game that beat me, 8-point favorite Siena lost by 15 at home to Fordham. Hey, shooting 37.3 TS% isn't going to beat anybody, but how do you lose like that at home? Let's move past that pick by ignoring Siena for the rest of the season. Shouldn't prove too difficult.

On to some bigger names in tonight's matchups. For some reason, lines weren't posted for No. 18 Michigan against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, nor Boston against Villanova. But instead of backing out on you, the college basketball fan, I just made up my own dubious, poorly-researched lines. The game don't stop.

I checked CBSSports.com and VegasInsider.com with no luck, so let me know if there are other places I should be looking. Let's get to it!

8:00pm ESPN3: No. 15 Wisconsin (-10) @ Milwaukee

Is it conference season yet? I'm getting sick of these pre-season laughers. Tonight, a ten-point spread is my closest (actual) spread of the night and, unfortunately for the Panthers, it should probably be higher. Both teams are 8-2 but Milwaukee's schedule has been S-O-R-R-Y up to this point. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has won their eight victories by an average of 30.3 points. Badgers don't care.

9:00pm ESPN3: Florida Atlantic @ No. 16 Mississippi State (-13.5)

The Owls pulled off a major upset in Humphrey Coliseum last season, but right now the Bulldogs have multiple guys (Dee Bost, Arnett Moultrie and Jalen Steele) at their peak and they'll make sure there's no repeat performance. The spread is steep but this one won't be close.

7:00pm ESPNU: Arkansas Pine Bluff @ No. 18 Michigan (-18.5)*

The Wolverines easily beat a good Oakland team over the weekend because their offense ran smooth as a wood-grained Bentley. It's normally a slow down offense so I kept the spread lower than I normally would. Pine Bluff is really bad.

7:00pm ESPN3: Boston University (+6.5)* @ Villanova

The Terriers are a wild card here. They were blown out by Texas but played Cleveland State down to the wire and beat Boston College (who is terrible this season, but still, Beantown handle they biz). Nova is skidding, meanwhile, and doesn't have a quality win to their name yet. I kept the spread way closer than it probably should be, just because I'm so bored by all these predicted blowouts, and I'm rolling with the underdogs for fun.

9:00pm ESPN: Central Michigan (+16.5) @ Minnesota

Why would a Big-10 team schedule a patty cake preseason? What good does it do you, except inflate player and fan expectations? Don't let the Gophers' 10-1 record fool you. Shoot, I would make 49.0% of my shots too if my last four games were against Virginia Tech, USC, Appalachian State and something called a St. Peter's. All of them at home! I don't know if Central Michigan can win, though I hope they do, and I'm definitely taking them against this crazy spread. Trey Zeigler, do work.

Ryan ZumMallen writes about basketball and competitive tic-tac-toe in Long Beach, CA. Follow him on Twitter at @ryanzummallen.

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