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College Basketball Vegas Odds and Picks: February 20th


I went 2-2 in my Saturday picks, moving me to 100-104-3 on the season. Tonight, I roll the die with all four road teams because I am reckless and because my brain is numb after I watched The Bachelor with my wife. (I mean, Crazy Creeper Courtney? Come on Ben. I thought we knew each other better than that.)

As always, all times Eastern. Let's do this!

7:00pm ESPN2/ESPN3: Kansas State (+9.5) @ No. 3 Missouri

K-State has had a rough go of it during Big 12 play, dropping two winnable games to Oklahoma, and five others to very good conference foes. On the flip side, Mizzou is streaking like the dickens right now and have won seven straight with perhaps the nation's best offense led by Phil Pressey and Marcus Denmon. I'm sticking with Kansas State today despite their rocky road record, not only because they handed Missouri one of their two losses back in early January, not only because they won that game by a whopping 16 points, and not only because the Wildcats get up for big games, but because ten points is way too large a margin for a Big 12 showdown with tournament implications.

Plenty more picks after the jump...

7:00pm ESPN3: No. 8 Georgetown (-1) @ Seton Hall

When Seton Hall hit their six-game slide, they got back on track with three straight wins against unranked teams. The Pirates need to win this game to gain traction in the bubble race, but after a loss at Cincinnati they will have a much tougher challenge in the defensive-minded Hoyas. I love Georgetown's three-headed monster in Jason Clark, Hollis Thompson and Henry Sims. Seton Hall doesn't have the bodies to match the Hoyas' top-to-bottom talent, and haven't proven that they can overcome an obstacle like that.

8:00pm BTN: No. 13 Michigan (+2) @ Northwestern

Michigan proved their mettle with Saturday's win over nemesis No. 6 Ohio State, and Trey Burke is looking like the possible Freshman of the Year. But they face a different kind of team in Northwestern - a team that runs a tight, efficient offense with John Shurna on a rampage (23.6ppg in his last five), and that has a 16-10 record with the seventh best SOS in the nation. The thing is, Michigan has a 20-7 record with the second best SOS. It's not impossible that the Cats steal a win, but the odds favor the rolling Wolverines.

8:00pm ESPN3: No. 7 North Carolina (-6.5) @ North Carolina State

The Tar Heels are an offensive juggernaut, wipe the glass, were an Austin Rivers buzzer-beater away from riding a nine-game winning streak into this game, and beat NC State by 19 the first time they faced. The Wolfpack absolutely needs this game for their resume if they want to salvage their dimming Big Dance hopes, but it would take a miracle game from C.J. Lesie, and Harrison Barnes and Kendall Marshal won't let that happen tonight.

Ryan ZumMallen writes about basketball and synchronized sandwich eating in Long Beach, CA. Follow him in the Twitterdome at @ryanzummallen.