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College Basketball Vegas Odds and Picks: February 28th


I went 3-2 in my Saturday picks, with my two losses coming by a combined 3.0 points against the spread, moving me to an even 108-108-3 on the season. It's pretty remarkable that this deep in the season I could be standing here with an exactly .500 record. I assume that means that I've guessed horribly on half the games and got incredibly lucky on the other half. Hey, I'll take it. Let's try to wrap up the regular season on a positive note before we get into the fun bits.

7:00pm ESPN/ESPN3: No. 5 Michigan State (-2.5) @ No. 20 Indiana

Draymond Green and the Spartans have a chance to win their seventh outright conference title under Tom Izzo, and can do it with their eighth straight victory over Indiana. The Hoosiers have been an incredible 16-1 at home all year, but Michigan State rebounds at every position and held Tyler Zeller to just four points in their last meeting.

Plenty more picks after the jump...

9:00pm ESPN/ESPN3: No. 13 Florida @ Vanderbilt (-3.5)

It's not often you see an unranked team favored over a ranked rival, especially when the Gators can clinch a first round bye in the SEC Tournament with a win. But I think this is a good bet. Florida fell apart when they overlooked Georgia on Saturday, and they're only 4-6 on the road this season. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt is playing for their own postseason seeding, and Jeffrey Taylor and John Jenkins pack the punch to hang with Florida's high octane attack.

8:00pm BTN: Minnesota (+9) @ No. 15 Wisconsin

Minnesota has dropped their last five and Wisconsin is heavily under-rated at No. 15 thanks to last week's loss at Iowa, but I don't see the Badgers pulling away. Minnesota hasn't scored 70 points since January 28; Wisconsin since January 18. Add to the the fact that Wisconsin runs the slowest tempo offense in the nation and it's unlikely either team pulls away by double digits.

Ryan ZumMallen writes about basketball and competitive floral arranging in Long Beach, CA. Follow him in the Twitterdome at @ryanzummallen.